Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Another Blown Lewis Prediction?

I used to think I could tell the difference between a Babylon Bee article and a Matt Lewis column. Now I am not sure I can anymore.

For example this from his column from April 4th on the left wing site The Daily Beast:

"With more than 6.6 million Americans filing for unemployment last week, and Donald Trump hoping that the coronavirus only kills 100,000 Americans, you might think things couldn’t get worse for his re-election chances. But then, you’d be leaving out the opportunity cost."

Yes, the President was hoping that only 100k die. But this shows that Lewis got another prediction wrong. The new projection is 74k dead. When Lewis wrote this back in April he lowballed the number for a strategic reason.

The projections were 100-200 thousand dead. Lewis picked the lowest number, because if it turned out to be 150K deaths it would be proof that Trump failed. Lewis would argue that was 50,000 above the minimum in the projection.

Proof Trump failed. 50,000 needless deaths
but, if the death total comes in under 100K (which Trump hoped for) what is the Lewis spin? Did Trump handle it well?

Like all of the other predictions that don't turn out, Lewis will, no doubt, keep a vow of silence.

No comments:

Post a Comment